Competing with Your Younger Self

My Garmin Fenix 6 keeps track of stats

Running

Fastest 1 mile - 9:50.3 (7/10/2022)

Fastest 5K - 35:31.8 (8/14/2023)

Longest Run - 3.41 miles (9/12/2022)

Cycling

Longest Ride - 20.29 miles (9/18/2022)

Most Ascent - 938 feet (7/24/2022)

Swimming

Fastest 100 yards - 2:10:00 (8/10/2022)

Fastest 500 yards - 12:00:00 (8/10/2022)

Fastest 1000 yards - 24:53:00 (10/2/2022)

Longest Swim - 1189 meters (8/20/2022)

This data was combined with an article from my sister that indicated that people slow about 1% per year until age 77 at which point the decline is faster.  This is based on marathon record times.

5K - 36:57 (3/5/2023)

5K - 33:58 (8/27/2022)

5K - 32:15 (8/28/2021)

5K - 31:09 (8/29/2020)

5K - 31:31 (8/24/2019)

5K - 28:15 (5/23/2015)

5K - 24:55 (10/26/2013)

5K - 28:55 (2/23/2013)

5K - 29:11 (1/26/2013)

5K - 28:26 (8/7/2012)

5K - 24:51 (6/29/2012)**

5K - 26:43 (8/10/2011)

5K - 20:00 (high school estimate)

Based on the 24:51 time, I should be able to run a 5K in 27:43.  Taking into consideration that I am 14 pounds heavier at a penalty of 2 seconds/mile, I should still be able to manage 29:45.  A sub 30 5K is a fairly reasonable goal.

Bolder Boulder 10K 2003 - 56:56

Bolder Boulder 10K 2002 - 48:13

Bolder Boulder 10K 2001 - 48:39

Boulder Backroads Half Marathon 2001 - 2:00:37

Motorola Marathon 2002 - 4:32:13

With USAWA we use Lynch Factor.  Weightlifting and Powerlifter use a Sinclair Calculator.